ࡱ> @  ebjbjFF ج,,[*4OOOh~OP PFPpXQXQXQXQTQQR10`XQXQ``XQXQǾbbb`XQXQb`bb\X XQP `RO|a\<tݾ0 a.bpaaQVbZf]pQQQN26bN26World Trade OrganizationRESTRICTED DOCPROPERTY "Symbol1" WT/TPR/S/145 15 February 2005 (05-0550)Trade Policy Review Body TRADE POLICY REVIEW DOCPROPERTY "Country"Mongolia Report by the Secretariat  This report, prepared for the first Trade Policy Review of Mongolia, has been drawn up by the ϲʹ Secretariat on its own responsibility. The Secretariat has, as required by the Agreement establishing the Trade Policy Review Mechanism (Annex 3 of the Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization), sought clarification from Mongolia on its trade policies and practices. Any technical questions arising from this report may be addressed to Mr.Masahiro Hayafuji (tel: 022 739 5873). Document WT/TPR/G/145 contains the policy statement submitted by Mongolia.  ADVANCE \y 700  Note: This report is subject to restricted circulation and press embargo until the end of the first session of the meeting of the Trade Policy Review Body on DOCPROPERTY "Country" Mongolia. CONTENTS Page SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS vii (1) The Economic Environment vii (2) Trade Policy Regime viii (3) Trade Policies and Practices by Measure viii (4) Trade Policies by Sector ix (5) Outlook xi I. Economic environment 1 (1) Introduction 1 (2) Recent Economic Developments 2 (3) Macroeconomic Policies 4 (i) Fiscal policy 4 (ii) Monetary and exchange rate policy 5 (iii) Structural policies 6 (4) Developments in Merchandise Trade 7 (i) Composition of trade 7 (ii) Direction of trade 7 (5) Trends and Patterns in Foreign Investment 10 (6) Outlook 10 II. trade policy regime: framework and objectives 12 (1) General Institutional Framework 12 (2) Trade Policy Formulation and Implementation 13 (3) Trade Related Laws and Regulations 14 (4) Trade Policy Objectives 17 (5) Trade Agreements and Arrangements 17 (i) Mongolia and the World Trade Organization 17 (ii) Other trade arrangements 19 (6) Foreign Investment Regime 21 (7) Trade-Related Technical Assistance 22 III. trade policies and practices by measure 23 (1) Introduction 23 (2) Measures Directly Affecting Imports 23 (i) Customs procedures 23 (ii) Tariffs 25 (iii) Other charges affecting imports 29 (iv) Customs valuation, preshipment inspection, and rules of origin 31 (v) Import prohibitions, restrictions, and licensing 31 (vi) Contingency measures 34 (vii) Government procurement 34 (viii) State trading 35 (ix) Other measures 35 Page (3) Measures Directly Affecting Exports 35 (i) Procedures 35 (ii) Export taxes, charges, and levies 36 (iii) Export prohibitions, restrictions, and licensing 36 (iv) Export-tax concessions, subsidies, free zones, and export performance requirements 37 (v) Export finance, insurance, and guarantees 37 (vi) Export promotion and marketing assistance 37 (4) Measures Affecting Production and Trade 37 (i) Promotion of inward foreign direct investment 37 (ii) Standards and other technical requirements 38 (iii) Intellectual property rights 39 (iv) State-owned enterprises and privatization 42 (v) Competition policy 43 IV. trade policies by sector 44 (1) Overview 44 (2) Agriculture and Related Activities 45 (i) Policy framework and developments 47 (ii) Main subsectors 47 (iii) Forestry 49 (3) Mining 50 (4) Energy 52 (i) Petroleum and petroleum products 52 (ii) Electricity 53 (5) Manufacturing 54 (6) Services (other than energy) 55 (i) Financial services 57 (ii) Telecommunications 64 (iii) Transportation 67 (iv) Tourism 70 REFERENCES 71 CHARTS Page I. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT I.1 Product composition of merchandise trade, 1999 and 2003 8 I.2 Direction of merchandise trade, 1999 and 2003 9 III. TRADE POLICIES AND PRACTICES BY MEASURE III.1 Average applied MFN tariff rates, by HS section, 2004 26 TABLES I. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT I.1 Main social and econmic indicators, 2002 1 I.2 Selected macroeconomic indicators, 1999-03 2 II. TRADE POLICY REGIME: FRAMEWORK AND OBJECTIVES II.1 Main trade-related legislation 15 II.2 Principal notifications under ϲʹ Agreements, as at 20 September 2004 18 II.3 Mongolia's bilateral trade agreements 20 III. TRADE POLICIES AND PRACTICES BY MEASURE III.1 Legislation on tariff exemptions under certain projects 27 III.2 Products bound at tariff rates other than 20% 27 III.3 Structure of MFN tariffs 28 III.4 Imports exempted from the VAT 29 III.5 Excise taxes 30 III.6 Goods prohibited under Government Resolution No. 54 of 2001 32 III.7 Goods subject to import or export licence 33 III.8 Export taxes for certain commodities, as of January 2004 36 III.9 Enforcement statistics related to intellectual property, 2000-04 42 IV. TRADE POLICIES BY SECTOR IV.1 Share of GDP by sector, 1995 and 1999-03 46 IV.2 Share of employment by sector, 1995 and 1999-03 46 IV.3 Commitments on services under GATS 55 SUMMARY OBSERVATIONS The Economic Environment Mongolia's economy is currently on a recovery path, with stable economic growth and moderate inflation. Its GDP per capita has increased from around US$430 in 1997, the year of Mongolia's accession to the ϲʹ, to US$450 in 2002. Macroeconomic and structural reforms, including in trade policy, have contributed to the economy's recovery; however, the structural reform process remains to be completed. Mongolia, formerly a centrally planned economy, landlocked between the Russian Federation and China, began its transition to a market-based economy in 1991. There has been impressive progress in economic and political transition; sweeping reforms were implemented speedily, including farm privatization and price deregulation, financial sector liberalization, and significant privatization of state entities. As a consequence, the private sector's share of GDP has increased to around 80%, compared with almost zero before the transition began in 1991. Laws and regulations were also changed to create a legal framework to support a market economy. These reforms have also helped Mongolia to deal with various setbacks, aggravated by exogenous developments, such as the Soviet Union's collapse and termination of its aid, and the Asian and Russian economic crises in 1997 and 1998, respectively. Aggregate real GDP had rebounded to pre-transition levels by 2001. While volatile, real GDP has grown in each year since 1993, and averaged 3.3% during 199403; it grew by 4% in 2002 and 5.6% in 2003. Growth largely reflected a turnaround in agriculture and a buoyant services sector. Services grew substantially, accounting in 2003 for 61.0% of GDP (48.5% in 1999) and about half of employment. Inflation rose to 4.7% in 2003, when unemployment also rose to 3.5%. Fiscal consolidation and reforms would reduce Mongolia's overall budget deficits. They declined significantly between 1999 and 2003 from 11.9% of GDP to 4.5%. The Government's medium-term fiscal objective is to reduce the overall budget deficit to 3% of GDP by 2008. The Bank of Mongolia has focused on price and exchange rate stability, while ensuring adequate money supply; it aims to contain annual CPI inflation to around 5%. Mongolia moved from a fixed U.S. dollar exchange rate to a floating system in May 1993. The early market-oriented reforms, including establishment of an open trade regime and a floating exchange rate, significantly helped the recovery. Available data on total factor productivity, a key indicator of efficiency and international competitiveness, indicate that it turned positive and increased from the mid 1990s as resource efficiency gains induced by structural reforms and a more competitive economy began driving growth. Foreign trade plays an important part in Mongolias economy. Mongolia's exports and imports of goods and nonfactor services accounted for 49.2% and 64.9% of GDP respectively, in 2003. The Government has generally resisted protectionist pressures and adopted, by and large, open trade and investment regimes. Net exports of goods and non-factor services have been growing strongly since 2003; export growth was helped by higher mineral prices. With gross domestic investment significantly exceeding gross national saving, the current account balance is in substantial deficit. It peaked at 18.1% of GDP in 2000 (excluding official transfers) before falling to 14.6% in 2003. This largely reflected a negative trade balance, equivalent to 15.7% of GDP in 2003, and a relatively small services deficit (3.9% of GDP in 2003). These deficits have been met by capital inflows, particularly overseas aid, official loans from bilateral and multilateral donors and, more recently, rising foreign direct investment. International reserves accumulated continuously from 1999 to reach US$268.2 million in 2002, but fell to US$203.4 million in 2003 (12.8 weeks of merchandise imports). Trade Policy Regime Mongolia's overall trade policy objectives are to support economic growth through an active trade policy, promote the industrial, agricultural, and services sectors, and increase exports. Its multilateral trade policy is focused on its commitments, and present negotiations, in the ϲʹ. Mongolia acceded to the ϲʹ on 29 January 1997, and has accepted all multilateral agreements; it is not a signatory to the Agreement on Government Procurement or the Agreement on Trade in Civil Aircraft. It grants at least most-favoured-nation treatment to all ϲʹ Members. On accession, it bound all its tariffs under GATT 1994. Mongolia also committed to eliminating, within ten years of the date of its accession, an export duty at the rate of not more than 30% ad valorem on the export of raw cashmere. Mongolia has not been a party to any disputes under the ϲʹ dispute settlement mechanism. Mongolia has not signed any regional or bilateral free-trade agreements. It has been involved in various bilateral trade-related arrangements, which do not involve preferential treatment. Mongolia is currently a beneficiary of the Canadian, EU, Japanese and U.S. preferential schemes under the Generalized System of Preferences. No restriction is imposed on the size and content of foreign direct investment into Mongolia, except that the production of weapons is prohibited. Foreign nationals and companies are not allowed to own land in Mongolia; however, they can lease land for up to 60 years. Mongolia's participation in trade negotiations and arrangements has been made difficult by its limited human, technical, and financial resources. In this respect, Mongolia's trade capacity has been the subject of various technical cooperation initiatives, including by the ϲʹ. While past assistance from these sources has been valuable, the authorities consider that further efforts are required in a number of areas including: training on ϲʹ rules and regulations as well as Mongolia's commitments for new members of Parliament, who were elected in June 2004; training on dispute settlement mechanism for lawyers; and capacity building on the multilateral trading system for academic institutions. Trade Policies and Practices by Measure Since acceding to the ϲʹ in January1997, Mongolia has substantially liberalized its trade regime. Liberalization has, inter alia, involved the reduction of tariff rates and elimination of a number of import licensing requirements. Mongolia employs the "transaction value" method of customs valuation. It does not use preshipment inspection for customs valuation purposes. The tariff is Mongolia's main trade policy instrument. Most imports entering Mongolia are subject to an ad valorem duty rate of 5% (compared with a uniform rate of 15% in 1997). In 2004, the simple average applied MFN tariff was 5.0%. All tariff lines are bound; the average bound rate was 18.4% in 2004. Bound rates are higher than applied MFN rates for most lines, thereby according Mongolia considerable latitude to raise its tariffs within existing bindings; in 2001, it raised its applied MFN rates from 5% to 7% for most products, while between May 1997 and September 1999, its applied MFN rates were zero. Due to a relatively uniform tariff structure, which simplifies customs procedures, reduces market distortions, and enhances transparency, there is no tariff escalation, and there are no tariff peaks. Some agricultural products (0.3% of total tariff lines) are protected by a seasonal rate of 15%. Different excise tax rates may apply between domestically produced and imported goods. Mongolia has not used any anti-dumping, countervailing or safeguard measures. Mongolia has a few non-tariff border measures, such as import prohibitions and import licensing requirements. Since Mongolia's accession to the ϲʹ, licensing requirements have been substantially relaxed. Export taxes apply to various products, including raw cashmere, with a view to increasing domestic processing. Export prohibitions concern drugs, narcotics, and certain dangerous and poisonous chemicals. Imports of equipment for export-oriented businesses and for foreign businesses investing in "priority sectors" are free of import duties. Export-oriented companies are also exempt from VAT and excise tax; VAT on gold sales was abolished in December 2001. The Government has adopted laws establishing free-trade and economic zones since 2002. Tax holidays are granted for exportoriented industries. Preferences are granted to domestic suppliers with regard to government procurement. Mongolia is not a signatory to the ϲʹ Agreement on Government Procurement. About 30% of Mongolia's industrial standards are harmonized with international standards. More than 40% of its standards are quoted as mandatory technical regulations. Mongolia has strengthened its legislation on intellectual property rights, with a view to assuring compatibility with international agreements. Privatization has progressed since the early 1990s. Competition policy remains weak; there are no agencies authorized to enforce competition legislation. Trade Policies by Sector The contribution to GDP of Mongolia's different sectors has changed substantially over the last decade. The services sector displaced agriculture to become by far the largest, accounting for 61.0% of GDP in 2003; agriculture declined from 38.0% to 20.1% of GDP, and manufacturing fell from 12.1% to 6.2%. The services sector is also the major employer, accounting for 46.4% of total employment in 2003 (39.8% in 1995), followed by agriculture and forestry with 41.8% (46.1% in 1995), and industry with 11.8% (14.1% in 1995). These compositional changes in GDP and employment reflect substantial structural adjustment in the economy, largely in response to the comprehensive reforms undertaken in Mongolia's transition from a centrally planned to a market economy. Livestock herding is the main agricultural activity. Labour productivity in agriculture is little more than one third of the level in rest of the economy, and declining. Some 30% of exports are agriculture based. Agricultural reforms, including privatization and price de-regulation, advanced rapidly in the 1990s under Mongolia's transition to a market economy. This caused substantial adjustment, largely out of crops reliant on state support, especially wheat, into cashmere and other livestock activities. However, droughts and harsh winters reduced herds, and along with disease and malnutrition from nomadic over-grazing of state land, have reduced productivity and contributed to land degradation. Agricultural policy is directed at reversing declining productivity and achieving greater self-sufficiency, especially in milk, flour, potatoes, and other vegetables, by promoting private participation and investment. The Government intends to expand wheat production to meet 60-70% of domestic demand for flour. Greater domestic processing for export of certain products, such as cashmere, meat, hides, and furs, is also a high priority. Mongolia has, by and large, resisted protectionist pressures, including in agriculture. Flour and certain vegetables have higher seasonal tariffs of 15% (instead of 5%), and limited state support for wheat growing has resumed through the State Agricultural Fund. Unprocessed cashmere exports are taxed to provide cheaper supply to promote domestic processing. However, such measures may have contributed to excess processing capacity, since up to half of Mongolia's raw cashmere is smuggled into China to avoid the tax. Such protective policies, including the dominance of and at times assistance provided to the majority state-owned firm, Gobi, have stifled cashmere processing and have not expanded value-added activity, despite benefiting processors through lower cashmere prices at the expense of herders. Exports of raw hides and skins are prohibited, also with the intent of encouraging domestic processing by lowering prices to processors, but again at the expense of herders and with little economic merit. Forests are being depleted. Annual allowable cutting quotas are set as much as four times higher than seemingly sustainable levels, and substantial illegal logging exists (accounting for as much as 80% of the total annual harvest). Export taxes of US$150 per cubic metre constitute an effective ban on exports, and were extended from unprocessed to semi-processed timber products to promote domestic processing. Mining, mainly of gold, copper, coal, and fluorspar, is the economy's industrial backbone. Mineral processing (gold and copper) accounts for two thirds of exports. State-owned firms dominate mineral production, including coal. The largest state-owned enterprise in this sector produces copper concentrate and is a government joint venture, 49% owned by the Russian Government and 51% by the Mongolian Government. Gold production has expanded substantially and is mined privately. The Government aims to double mining's contribution to GDP (12.7% in 2003). Most foreign investment is in mining. New minerals legislation in 1997 accorded foreigners greater security and access to mineral exploration and development. The state monopoly on petroleum importation and distribution was abolished in 1990. The tender for the highly indebted state-owned Neft Oil Import Concern was concluded in early 2004. Domestic interests acquired the State's 80% equity. Oil income is exempt from income tax. The Government aims to establish an oil refining industry. Restructuring of the highly indebted stateowned electricity sector started in 2001 with market reforms. The former Energy Authority's operations were unbundled into 18companies separating generation, transmission, and distribution. Privatization efforts are continuing. The Energy Regulatory Authority was created in 2002. The manufacturing sector, consisting mainly of food, beverages, textiles and clothing, has been substantially restructured. State ownership in manufacturing (e.g. cashmere products) remains significant. The Government has prioritized as key industries copper and meat processing, leather and cashmere products, carpets, and wool. Removal of clothing quotas by the United States, Mongolia's major market, in 2005 may threaten production if foreign joint ventures leave as a result. Mongolia made various GATS commitments as part of its accession to the ϲʹ. Several banking crises in the 1990s closed major banks and required costly government-funded rescue plans. However, the level and rising value of bank and other non-performing loans raises prudential concerns. Prudential requirements and supervision, especially of banks and non-bank financial institutions, are being strengthened along with institutional capacity and corporate governance, based on international practices. There are no non-prudential restrictions on foreign banks or other financial institutions, including insurance companies. Bank privatization, including sales of assets to foreign interests, has advanced. State ownership has fallen from 60% in 2001 to currently 4%, and bank assets are 31% foreign owned. Two insurance companies have been fully privatized, the largest to a consortium with overseas interests, in 2003. The majority state-owned Mongolia Telecom (MT), has a statutory monopoly on domestic basic telecommunications until 2015. International calls were deregulated in 2002. There are two mobile operators. Prices, including those of mobile services, are regulated on a full-cost-recovery basis, and cross-subsidies apply to basic services. New legislation in 2001 laid the foundations for further deregulation, by creating in 2002 the Communications Regulatory Committee and introducing interconnection and other competition safeguards. However, the MT monopoly greatly limits their practical significance. Government policy is to end this as soon as possible, subject to re-negotiation of an agreement concluded in 1995 with Korea Telecom on the terms of MT's privatization. Transportation services, other than domestic air services, are heavily regulated, and restructuring, including private participation, is envisaged. The national air carrier and railways are state-owned. Outlook The Government aims to achieve annual real economic growth of 5.5-6.0%. This was achieved ahead of schedule in 2003 (5.6%), and higher growth is forecast. Latest official projections are for growth of 8.1% in 2004, revised upwards from 6.0% due to continued agricultural expansion and rising mineral exports in value terms due mainly to higher commodity prices, and 6.1% in 2005 and 2006. However, inflation (CPI) is expected to rise substantially above the central bank's guideline rate of 5% to double-digit levels, at least in 2004. The share of government expenditure is projected to fall to 42.1% of GDP in 2005 and 40.6% in 2006. The overall budget deficit is forecast to rise from 5.0% to 5.5% of GDP in 2005 and to decrease to 4.8% in 2006. The trade deficit is expected to fall in 2004 to 14.5% of GDP and to 13.9% in 2005, helped by continued merchandise export growth of 17.7% in 2004 and 9.5% in 2005. The Government recognizes the need for Mongolia to diversify its industrial structure into manufacturing and services; the concentration of its current economic base mainly in mining and agriculture make it vulnerable to fluctuations in world commodity prices and weather conditions. While agriculture is of particular importance to Mongolia, pronounced declines in many commodity prices in the past decade have meant that, by and large, agricultural exporters face declining terms of trade; if this downward trend continues over the long term, increasing volumes of these products may need to be exported in exchange for the same value of manufactured goods and services. Mongolia's future economic performance will also depend to a large extent on external factors, such as the pace of recovery in the world economy, including especially growth of its main markets, China and to a lesser extent Russia. Of greatest importance, however, to Mongolia's longer-term growth prospects will be its own policy efforts to ensure macroeconomic stability and to implement structural and other economic reforms needed for sustainable growth. This will require further improvements in Mongolia's capacity to attract FDI, continued trade liberalization, in particular resisting protectionist pressures to raise tariffs and re-introduce agricultural assistance, as well as strengthening of the financial sector. 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