°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ

S

ESTUDIOS Y ANÁLISIS: DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO

On the Effects of GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ Membership on Trade: They are Positive and Large After All

We capitalize on the latest developments in the empirical structural gravity literature to revisit the question of whether and how much does GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ membership affect international trade. We are the first to capture the non-discriminatory nature of GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ commitments by measuring the effects of GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ membership on international trade relative to domestic sales.

These unilateral effects of GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ membership are found to be large, positive, and statistically significant. We also obtain bilateral GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ estimates, which are larger than those reported in the literature. In particular, our results imply that, on average, joining GATT and/or °ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ has increased trade between members by 171% and trade between member and non-member countries by about 88%. We also find that although both GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ has been effective in promoting trade between members, the °ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ has been more effective in promoting trade with non-members than GATT. A battery of sensitivity experiments confirms the effectiveness of our methods and robustness of our main findings.

N°: ERSD-2019-09

Autores: Mario Larch, José Antonio Monteiro, Roberta Piermartini and Yoto V. Yotov

Fecha de redacción: mayo de 2019

Palabras clave:

GATT/°ÄÃÅÁùºÏ²Ê¹ÙÍø×ÊÁÏ, International Trade, Domestic Sales, Structural Gravity

Código JEL:

F13, F14, F16

volver al principio

Declinación de responsabilidad 

Este es un documento de trabajo y se refiere, por consiguiente, a un estudio en curso. Refleja las opiniones de sus autores. No pretende reflejar la posición o las opiniones de la OMC o de sus Miembros y se entiende sin perjuicio de los derechos y obligaciones de los Miembros en el marco de la OMC. Los errores que puedan existir son responsabilidad de los autores.

Descargar el documento en formato pdf (30 páginas, 478KB; solamente en inglés, se abrirá una nueva ventana)